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Examine the evidence

Reality checks.

A closer look at the proof behind a claim and the work still ahead.

Muskie's Gigawatt Deal Still Needs Its Grid Connection

TeraWulf's expanded power agreement moves a delivery target forward. New lines, regulatory decisions and actual operation still separate the deal from usable compute.

ComputeReality Check 5 Oct 2026 3 min read

GLM-5.3 Can Build Exploits. The Numbers Need Context.

A downloadable model can turn known bugs into working exploits. Two headline scores reveal why measuring that capability is harder than reading a percentage.

AIReality Check 5 Oct 2026 3 min read

A Sjögren’s drug met its Phase 3 goal. The key number is missing.

Amgen reports a positive Phase 3 result in a trial of roughly 621 people. Until the effect size appears, the treatment benefit remains hard to judge.

BiotechReality Check 30 Sep 2026 3 min read

Semaglutide Extended Lifespan in Mice. What Did It Prove?

Ninety-two days draws attention. Keeping three mouse experiments and two human studies separate reveals what the result can actually tell us.

LongevityReality Check 5 Sep 2026 4 min read

David Sinclair's XPRIZE Rejuvenation Plan Has a Proof Problem

The real story is not another anti-aging pill claim. It is whether whole-body rejuvenation can survive XPRIZE's measurement machine.

LongevityReality Check 11 Jun 2026 5 min read

Can an AI Dog Collar Really Understand Dogs, or Just Measure Them Better?

Sarama's collar does not prove AI can translate dogs. It shows something more concrete: animal AI is becoming a home sensor business.

AIReality Check 23 May 2026 9 min read

AI Forecasting Is Getting Better. ForecastBench Does Not Prove It Sees the Future

ForecastBench is a serious test of AI forecasting, but the real lesson is narrower than the leaderboard suggests.

AIReality Check 23 May 2026 6 min read

The Longevity Industry Has a Measurement Problem

Longevity will not become serious medicine until it proves what its numbers actually mean.

LongevityReality Check 13 May 2026 6 min read

Quantum Vacuum Power Still Has a Proof Problem

Casimir’s MicroSparc claim is exactly the kind of quantum energy story that deserves attention and distrust at the same time.

QuantumReality Check 13 May 2026 6 min read

AI + Quantum Longevity Forecast: The Kurzweil Narrative vs the Trial Timeline

Exponential tools are colliding with non-exponential biology.

LongevityReality Check 9 Jan 2026 5 min read

Longevity Research: Why “Optional Death” Is a Powerful Idea—and a Dangerous Timeline Fantasy

Longevity research is becoming more credible, but the fantasy of optional death still moves much faster than the science.

LongevityReality Check 10 Jul 2025 4 min read

Optimus on Ice: Why Humanoid Robot Hype Keeps Crashing Into Factory Reality

The real problem with humanoid robots is not the demo. It is surviving the factory.

RoboticsReality Check 6 Jul 2025 5 min read

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